Prediction of Liam Broady vs Yannick Hanfmann at Lyon Challenger 11-12-25

• In recent performance, Yannick Hanfmann's second serve win rate stands at 47.89%, outpacing Liam Broady's 43.62%. Does this small margin indicate an advantage for Hanfmann? Likely, as this stat often correlates with match outcomes.
• When assessing return game statistics, Broady leads slightly in winning 40.50% of points on his opponent's second serve compared to Hanfmann's 39.95%. However, Broady also holds an edge in first serve returns with 24.35% versus Hanfmann's 22.93%.
• Under pressure, Hanfmann excels by saving 55.15% of breakpoints, outshining Broady's 47.62%. Does this suggest Hanfmann's mental toughness offers a critical edge? It might be crucial in tight situations.
• Looking at overall performance in the past year, Broady boasts a win rate of 74.36%, while Hanfmann has secured 63.01% of his matches. Despite this, it's crucial to consider the level of competition faced.
• Surface preferences reveal Broady's strength on hard courts, whereas Hanfmann thrives on clay. Their weakest performances are both on grass, though Hanfmann fares better there than Broady.
• The disparity in competition level is notable: Broady mostly competes at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, winning 75.71%, while Hanfmann faces tougher opponents on the main tour, winning 62.86%.
• Direct head-to-head encounters have ended in favor of Hanfmann, who has won their only prior match in straight sets.
• Opponent quality stats highlight a tougher average rank faced by Hanfmann (196.47) compared to Broady (396.6) in the last year.
• In deciding sets, Hanfmann excels with a 64% win rate, surpassing Broady's 57% in such scenarios.
• Both players show similar break point conversion rates, with Broady slightly leading at 29.82% to Hanfmann's 29.24%.

Editorial Prediction (November 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Liam Broady and Yannick Hanfmann presents a fascinating clash of styles and recent form metrics. Hanfmann holds a slight edge with his superior second serve performance and ability to save breakpoints under pressure.

While Broady's recent success rate is impressive, the caliber of his opponents has been significantly lower than Hanfmann's. Hanfmann's higher-level tour experience and past head-to-head victory signal a competitive advantage.

Given Yannick Hanfmann's ability to maintain composure in crucial moments and his previous success against Broady, he seems more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.